The events unfolding in Egypt, which first began with
the outbreak of the rebellion in 2011, are very important in terms of its
social and political impact. Particularly important is not the events
themselves , but the dynamics and perspectives that have been developed through
them both at national and regional level.
First, it is now clear that the social crisis of 2011
was not a revolution that brought systemic changes in the political scene in
Egypt, but rather a revolt cohesion and political objectives and ideological
limited. However, the second and more massive , the revolt of the summer of
2013 , which also led to the fall of President Mohamed Morsi of the Muslim
Brotherhood , is the sign of an important fact: Egyptian society is now at a
point stop historical cycle in which it was politicized by policies imposed
from above. It is a process of re - politicization and slowly realize their
rights and power, and thus the rejection of the masses to accept the government
of the Muslim Brotherhood does not meet their requirements.
However, this process is not intended to be short or
easy, and bring the Egyptian elite - including the army , for the moment -
before the challenges and dilemmas concerning the transformation of its
internal and external policies. And the case is such that the democratic
election of the Muslim Brotherhood , actually reflects the political culture of
the masses of Egypt is heavily weighted towards a different direction in the
conduct of monetary policy , even if the same masses have become against the
government when he failed to fulfill its promises. This is reflected by the
fact that the army will have to fight for a more democratic political system
and a very different more assertive foreign policy of the current situation
facing the traditional foreign policy of the army. This is because the army
should take into account the anti-American and anti-Israeli perceptions, among
others, public opinion.
In this context, issues such as the Israeli- Turkish
relations, the Palestinian issue, the future of the Sinai Peninsula and
terrorism in North Africa , the question of the delimitation of national EEZs
in Euro- Mediterranean relations southeastern Turkey - Egypt , and management
of regional Shiite influence and the Arab Spring in general, are in a state of
fluidity and uncertainty. As such , the results of many of these outstanding
issues will largely depend on developments in Egypt. At the same time , it
shows the importance and centrality of Egypt in the events in the Middle East
and North (MENA) Africa , stressing that the MENA region is not static -
Orientalism as would - but a great dynamic that can play a decisive role in
regional and international political changes and the balance of power.
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